FiNETIK – Asia and Latin America – Market News Network

Asia and Latin America News Network focusing on Financial Markets, Energy, Environment, Commodity and Risk, Trading and Data Management

Alternative Latin Investor: Latam Fund & Investment Trends- December 2011 Issue Nr 12

Latin America fund assets to exceed $3 trillion by 2020
-Driven by appetite for Asia – U.S. and European asset managers benefit most

While still smaller than other global regions in terms of aggregate assets – around US$1.4 trillion in mutual fund assets and about $710 billion in pension assets – fast growth in Latin America as a region is capturing the imagination of investors, distributors and asset managers alike, with tactical and strategic opportunities prompting resource allocations and investments.

Subscribe to the free issue of  at http://www.alternativelatininvestor.com/index.html.

Source: Alternative Latin Investor, 06.12.2011

Filed under: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Latin America, Mexico, News, Peru, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Mexico´s Exchanges take huge steps to boost High-Speed Trading.

The Mexican Exchange, which is the second largest exchange in Latin America, announced a number of strategic and technology initiatives designed to promote foreign investment in the Mexican financial markets and its position as a Latin American leader in high-frequency trading.

While Brazil continues to be the hottest emerging market in Latin America, the Mexican Exchange (BMV Group), is taking huge steps to boost its growth in the high-speed marketplace.

The Mexican Exchange, which is the second largest exchange in Latin America, announced a number of strategic and technology initiatives designed to promote foreign investment in the Mexican financial markets and its position as a Latin American leader in high-frequency trading.

Mexico now provides worldwide participants with seamless, high-speed and efficient access through low touch direct market access (DMA), high speed co-location services, and FIX standard protocol for order routing and market data Part of Mexico’s success is down to its determination to improve its operative rules to better comply with international market standards, as well as adopting new technology.

In 2012, the Mexican Exchange will announce the launch of a new trading engine, internally developed. This multi-market, multi-asset, flexible and scalable trading engine has throughput of more than 200,000 messages per second. The trading engine will be ultra low latency, executing trades in 100 microseconds roundtrip (improvement over 25 milliseconds on legacy trading system). Full deployment is planned for Q2 2012. Further in 2012, The Mexican Exchange will introduce several new initiatives including midpoint hidden order book trading, aimed at institutional investors looking to trade large blocks anonymously with reduced execution risk. Simpler cross order rules will also be implemented; all stocks, global market equity securities and debt instruments will be crossed within the best bid/ask spread with no intervention. And, VWAP executions for the day will be able to be entered from 8:00 AM CT to 2:40 PM CT.

Recently, the Mexican Exchange has established major alliances broadening investment opportunities in the Mexican market. The Mexican Derivatives Exchange (MexDer) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) established phase one, “south-to-north,” of its strategic order routing agreement, giving Mexican investors access to CME Group’s benchmark derivatives contracts, including interest rates, foreign currencies, equity indexes, energy, metals and agricultural commodities.

Phase two of the partnership, “north-to-south,” now in place provides CME Group customers with access to MexDer benchmark products, including Mexican Stock Exchange Index futures, bond futures and MXN Peso / US dollar futures contracts.

Source: Wallstreet&Technology, Melanie Rodier, 18.11.2011

Filed under: BMV - Mexico, Exchanges, Latin America, Mexico, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brazil to increase primary surplus and make room for interest rates cut – prepares for global slowdown

Brazil plans to further contain government spending this year to prepare the country for a global slowdown and make room for a cut in interest rates, Finance Minister Guido Mantega said on Monday.

The government raised its target for the 2011 budget surplus before interest payments to 91 billion Real (57 billion dollars) from 81.7 billion Real, Mantega told reporters in Brasilia.

Brazil joins countries from Mexico to Turkey in signalling that rate cuts may be on the horizon as global growth sputters and a debt crisis in Europe worsens.

“It makes it viable in the medium- or long-term to cut interest rates,” Mantega said. “As you reduce or stop increasing public spending, you open space for a reduction in interest rates when the central bank thinks it is possible.”

The central bank’s board of directors, led by President Alexandre Tombini, begins its August policy meeting Tuesday, with inflation above 7% for the first time since 2005. Traders are wagering that policy makers will cut rates a quarter-point this week, and between 0.75 and 1 percentage point by year-end, as the economy shows signs of cooling and the global recovery falters.

Mantega said he sees no immediate need for monetary stimulus and added that inflation is a permanent concern for President Dilma Rousseff’s government.

Mexico policy makers kept the benchmark rate at a record low 4.5% for the 21st consecutive meeting on Aug. 26 and said they would consider adjusting it if the national or global economic outlook worsens. The Turkish central bank also left its benchmark rate unchanged on Aug. 23 and Governor Erdem Basci said the institution may have to loosen monetary policy. Peru and Chile also held rates this month.

Brazil’s budget surplus (before interest payments) widened in July to a record for the month pushing the year-to-date total to almost 80% of the 2011 target.

The so-called primary surplus, which includes federal and local governments as well as state companies, last month rose to 13.8 billion Real from 13.4 billion Real in June. The government earlier this year cut 50.7 billion Real from its 2011 budget.

Brazil’s economic activity shrank in June for the first time since December, 2008. Industrial production fell 1.6% in June the second-biggest drop in output since 2008, and business confidence in the second quarter fell to its lowest level since 2009.

Source: Merco Press-South Atlantic News Agency, 30.08.2011

Filed under: Brazil, Events, Mexico, News, Risk Management, , , , , , , , , ,

CME and MexDer implement north-to-south order routing

CME Group, the world’s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, and the Mexican Derivatives Exchange (MexDer), the derivatives subsidiary of the BMV Group and second largest exchange in Latin America, today announced the successful launch of their north-to-south order routing agreement, giving customers in the U.S. access to MexDer’s benchmark derivatives contracts, including Mexican Stock Exchange Index Futures, Bond Futures and MXN Peso / US Dollar Futures Contracts.

The first phase of CME Group’s strategic partnership with MexDer went live April 4, 2011 and gave Mexican investors access to CME Group’s benchmark derivatives contracts including interest rates, foreign currencies, equity indexes, energy, metals and agricultural commodities.

“Mexico is the 13th largest economy in the world and we continue to look for opportunities to provide our customers around the world with the broadest and most diverse range of globally-relevant products to help them manage their risk,” said Phupinder Gill, CME Group President. “This next phase of the partnership demonstrates how we continue to build on our successful track record of growing our business internationally through strategic partnerships.”

“With the successful launch of South-to-North order routing in April, the second phase of the direct order routing connection now makes it possible for both of our customers to leverage access to both MexDer and CME Group, and take advantage of a modern market with a friendly regulatory framework in Mexico and a growing sophisticated local investor base,” said Luis Tellez, Chairman and CEO of BMV Group. “Our goal moving forward is to focus on increasing our volumes together and working more closely with each other to learn how we can meet the needs of our customers.”

In March 2010, the parent company of MexDer, BMV Group, and CME Group entered into a strategic partnership that includes order routing for derivatives products as well as an agreement to pursue potential joint initiatives including product development, marketing and customer education as well as clearing opportunities. CME Group is the exclusive exchange provider of derivatives order routing services to MexDer outside Latin America, and MexDer is the exclusive exchange provider of derivatives order routing services to CME Group in Mexico.

Source: BMV 01.08.2011

Filed under: BMV - Mexico, Exchanges, FIX Connectivity, Latin America, Mexico, News, Risk Management, Trading Technology, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

China: BlackRock – Can China´s Saver save the world?

  • China has experienced rapid credit-led growth in recent years. This growth has been an important contributor to global economic recovery.
  •  Many commentators anticipate that the rapid nature of Chinese credit growth, allied to a capital allocation process led by political direction and undertaken at highly subsidized rates of interest, will inevitably end in a credit bust.
  •  Further, these critics point to the opaque nature of China’s banking system, rapidly growing off-balance-sheet exposures and an overblown real estate sector as evidence of a fragile Sino financial system overdue for a crisis that will, in turn, cripple world growth and extended financial systems elsewhere.
  •  While we are sympathetic to much of the logic behind these fears, we believe that these concerns float on some flimsy analysis. As one example, we cite the mismatch between the oft-cited story of 65 million empty apartments nationwide in China and the inconvenient truth that market estimates indicate that only 60 million apartments have been completed in the last decade.
  •  More importantly, we believe that the “panda bears” overlook the fact that much of the expansion in China’s financial balance sheet has been quasi-fiscal lending and that such lending is backed and guaranteed by a system that is experiencing rapid growth in income and starting from a low level of overall debt.
  • Domestic savings rates are high — indeed, excessive at over 50% of GDP. While external capital has funded much of the rise in banking system liabilities over the last 12 months, China also runs a current account surplus, is largely domestically funded and lacks many of the vulnerabilities that undid Western credit systems in 2007–08.
  •  We agree that bad debt levels in China will rise — in fact, in a worst-case scenario, there could be as much as 7 trillion RMB of bad loans in the system at present, according to our estimates. But bank balance sheets are strong, profit growth is subsidized by fixed lending and deposit rates, and economic growth itself should be strong enough to absorb most reasonable estimates of losses without serious challenges to financial system stability.
  •  Bank deposits are the main source of domestic savings. We are confident that Beijing will seek to avoid social discontent arising from any threat to the security of deposits with vigor and resources that would make Western bailouts appear puny by comparison. Our concern is that savings growth rates will slow over the next few years and that deposit growth will be much more pedestrian than over the last decade. The recent consolidation of data on funding growth under the banner of Total Social Financing (TSF) presents a clearer picture of the efficiency of deposit mobilization in funding growth. Even allowing for shortcomings in methodology, the incremental growth per unit of financing — Financial Incremental Capital Output Ratio, or FICOR, as we term it — has deteriorated over the last decade.
  •  As a consequence of slower savings rates and reduced FICOR, we expect a slowdown in trend growth over the next few years to 7-8% rather than the 8-10% level of recent times. State-led capital allocation and rate fixing was a feature of both Korea and Japan in the past. In both cases, financial crisis arising from this policy mix was triggered by financial reform. We believe the same holds for China, but will take a number of years to unfold.

Read full report Can China´s Savers save the world

Source: BlackRock / Carral Sierra, 12.07.2011

Filed under: China, Market Data, Risk Management, Uncategorized, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

China: BlackRock – Puede el ahorro de China salvar al mundo?

China ha experimentado en años recientes un rápido crecimiento impulsado por el crédito, el cual ha sido un factor importante en la recuperación económica global. Sin embargo:

  • Muchos analistas anticipan que la rápida condición del crecimiento chino gracias al crédito, junto con un proceso de distribución de capital dirigido por sus políticos y emprendido a tasas de interés altamente subsidiadas, inevitablemente derivará en una caída crediticia.
  • Estos comentarios señalan la naturaleza opaca del sistema bancario de China, una rápida exposición de las hojas de balance y un sector inmobiliario inflado, como la evidencia de un sistema financiero frágil susceptible a una crisis que, a su vez, afectará el crecimiento mundial y a otros sistemas financieros.

    Opiniones del BlackRock Investment Institute: ¿Puede el Ahorro de China Salvar al Mundo?

  • En la nueva publicación del BlackRock Investment Institute, “¿Puede el ahorro de China salvar al mundo? (Can China Savers Save the World?)”, los autores analizan las razones que están en la base de estos temores. Al respecto, afirman que esta inquietud podría estar basada en un análisis débil.
  • Asimismo, creen que los llamados “pandas” no consideran el hecho de que gran parte de la expansión de la balanza financiera de China se ha basado en préstamos casi fiscales y que tienen el respaldo y garantía de un sistema que experimenta un rápido crecimiento de su ingreso y cuenta con un nivel bajo de deuda.
  • En consecuencia, los autores sugieren que China no sufrirá un colapso financiero, sino a lo sumo un descenso en su potencial y en su tasa de crecimiento.

Adjunto te hacemos llegar el documento completo en inglés en formato PDF. En caso de cualquier duda adicional, quedamos a tu disposición.

Para leer el reporte completo click aqui.  Can China´s Savers save the world

Source: Black Rock / Carral Sierra, 12.07.2011

Filed under: China, News, Risk Management, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brazil: Greek accord might buy some peaceful time – Monthly Allocation July 2011 – BANIF

Greek accord might buy some peaceful time

We maintain our negative view on the international market for July. In the US, after a series of weak economic indicators, even worse than initially expected, there is no evidence of a turnaround in the short term, especially while the unemployment rate remains at high levels. The ongoing recovery in Japan, together with a slight reduction in commodity prices and the slight reduction in US interest rates (10-yr bonds) seem to us to be a base for some economic recovery that to date has not yet materialized. We believe that potentially increasing inflation might stress the Chinese market, but this possibility remains uncertain for the moment. In the Euro zone, economic indicators tend to play a secondary role to political tension, as the outcome for the Greek debt remains undefined. The recent measures approved by the parliament enabled only the receipt of a tranche of aid previously negotiated. We expect a temporary ease in this tension, which might pick up shortly as it negotiates a second aid package by September, under uncertain political support from all European countries. The dominant feeling is that Greece has no orthodox solution while it remains under the Euro umbrella and tied to its rules. The biggest fear, however, is not of Greece defaulting, but that it would spread the problem to other countries also on the list of troubled economies.

Despite our negative view for international markets, we believe that July may be less negative than June was, mainly due to the temporary ease that the Greek accord brought. However, tensions should increase with the negotiations for the next agreement, expected by September.

Local inflation likely to continue low

Inflation in July might continue low, although not as low as in June, which confirmed and even surpassed the most optimistic expectations. While in June inflation was slightly negative (according to some of the main indexes), consensus expectations for the IPCA in July are around 0.15-0.20%. This reduction was a result of seasonal factors that might lose effect shortly, with inflation likely to pick up as they do.

Delinquency rates increased slightly in June, but we tend to believe this is not a source of concern because: 1) personal income is likely to show improved figures because of the recently reduced inflation and 2) the amount of late payments, the step before writing off debt, decreased for two months in a row.

We predicted that June’s local positive sentiment based on reduced inflation would overcome a bad international scenario, but this did not materialize. We continue with the same views for July, bad internationally and good locally. This time, however, we believe that the negative mood might continue to prevail.

We changed our portfolio to be more defensive, having in mind our somewhat negative view for the market. We have added Tractebel and Telesp (both with 5% stake), two traditionally defensive names, we reduced weight on Even (from 10% to 5%) and have withdrawn Itaú.

Source: BANIF CVC, 01.07.2011

Filed under: BM&FBOVESPA, Brazil, China, News, , , , , , , , , , , ,

VAM: Vietnam Market Analysis May 2011

Interest rates the highlight of the month
With the aim of controlling inflation, the SBV tightened money supply, thereby increasing interest rates. Market interest rates are now averaging 19.86% for short term borrowing, and if including fees (which banks apply to get around the lending rate cap) the effective borrowing costs increased to 23%. On the other hand, the US$ cost of borrowing (approximately 3%) and the rate paid by SOEs is actually negative in real terms, due to a two-tier lending rate. Rates at these prohibitive levels in the private sector threaten to choke off any growth for the year; despite this, another 100 bps interest rate hike for the year is still a possibility.
 
Following Aprils introduction of USD-denominated deposit cap of 3% for individuals, domestic residents attracted by the large gap between USD and VDN deposit rates, opted to keep fewer dollar deposits, thereby contributing to 2.89% MoM decline in USD-denominated deposits. VND-denominated deposits increased by 1.27%. No slowdown in credit growth, as seen by M2 levels, is yet visible. With credit growth reaching 6.5% year-to-date (as of April), the annual target credit growth rate of 16  18% will likely be overshot. The SBV lifted Open Market Operations repo rates 100 bps to 15%, thus sending a message that tight monetary conditions will remain.
 
Inflation still very much a concern
Nationwide CPI rose 2.21% MoM (2.1% when seasonally adjusted) with the first five months of 2011 reaching 12.07%. Inflation in May continued to accelerate, approaching levels not seen since 2008 with no signs of easing. Three months into a shift in focus from growth to curbing inflation, monetary authorities have used both fiscal and monetary tools, tightening aggressively, yet little impact is invisible. Seasonally adjusted food prices were up 3% MoM in May, following a 3.8% increase in April. Prices in food and energy related items were most noticeably up, however, it should be noted that this was aided by double digit hikes in electricity and fuel prices in late February and later March. It is likely that inflation will surpass 20% in the coming months and further monetary tightening is to be expected.
 
Stability in the dong continues
Stability in the VND/USD exchange rate continued into the month of May. With the dong appreciating about 0.43% over the previous month, banks appear to have sufficient USD dollar supplies to meet importers needs. Although exact figures are difficult to come by, recent media reports have quoted a government minister as saying that reserves stood at $10bn (the equivalent to about 6 weeks of imports) in December 2010. Towards the end of May, the central bank announced that it has purchased USD 1.2bn with the aim of increasing international reserves. In this quest, the SBV outbid the market by 40  50 dong, to VND 20,600 per USD, indicating it exercises caution while added to reserves by striving to avoid furthering inflation through increased liquidity. 
 
Domestic indicators continued to show positive signals
Domestic indicators such as growth in exports and imports both continued to show increases for the month however, growth came at a decreasing pace than in April. Exports and imports, increased at 5.7% and 2.7% respectively for May. While Mays trade deficit came to US$1.7bn, the highest in 18 months, the drop in commodity export growth rates was a contributing factor. Domestic consumption remains strong with industrial production expanding by 14.4% YoY and retail sales growing by 23.7% YoY, FDI, overseas remittances and aid money remain important sources of exchange for Vietnam to offset its trade deficit. FDI figures for the first 5 months of the year totaled $4.7bn, or about 23.5% of the years target.
 
Equity markets 
Starting the month after a long holiday weekend, the VN-Index opened at 483.3 points and ended the month at 421.37, representing a 12.23% loss MoM. The VN-Index even plummeted to 386.36 points on 23 May 2011, its lowest level since 2009. May also saw dramatic downward trend in trading volume anda squeeze on liquidity on both bourses. Trading values for both bourses fell for yet another month, dropping to $27 million in May, down from $62 million and $42 million in March and April, respectively.
 
The massive sell-off from retail and even institutional investors resulted from investors low confidence which in turn was caused by the upward revision of inflation forecast and “persistently high interest rate”. Moreover, news about the banks deadline to reduce real-estate and non production loans to below 20% of total loans also ignited fears of margin calls and forced selling to recover bad debts on the banks part, leading to a 10 consecutive bear sessions on the market in spite of a strong rebound after hitting the record 2 year low bottom. Further contributing to downward pressure was many investors needing to meet margin calls by liquidating holdings at limit down prices in a period of low liquidity. The trading band further fueled negative sentiment by preventing the market from finding its true equilibrium.
 
Rounding out the month, the market saw an upturn with several large caps closing limit up. Many investors are abstaining from the market, choosing instead bank fixed term deposits as high bank interest rates provide a profitable, safe alternative.
 
To better reflect the true sentiment in the market, a senior official has called for the introduction of new indices. While the composition of the indices is yet to be determined, suggestions range from top 30 or top 50 large-market cap companies or dividing the market into business sectors. The poor equity market performance shows macroeconomic factors continue to impede recovery and outlook remains bearish.
 
Our ViewWe believe the market will continue to fluctuate within the wider range of the trading band in the short-term as investors key concerns, namely double-digit inflation and trade deficit are still prevalent. Economic recovery seems a distant prospect, and investors prefer the high fixed deposit rate to equity at this time. However, in term of valuations, we think Vietnamese equities are currently priced more cheaply than those of other regional markets.
 
In response to poor market sentiment, the Ministry of Finance recently announced their support to recover the equity market by allowing (1) investors to use more than one brokers; and (2) buying and selling the same securities within a trading day provided that investors securities for sales are available in their depository accounts, with effect from 1st August 2011. This news is considered good catalyst to regain the capital inflow into the system despite the current market instability. For investors with a medium- to long-term outlook, the current poor market is a great opportunity to increase their equity holdings at cheap valuations.  We maintain our picks of telecommunication, consumers and energy sectors with focus on strong fundamental resilient companies with little or no debts as most companies in the other industries are struggling hard with the high-interest rate environment.
Source:VAM, 14.06.2011

Filed under: News, Risk Management, Vietnam, , , , , , , , ,

Brazil – Low Inflation to Boost Brazilian Stock Market – Monthly Allocation – June 2011 -BANIF

At best, things should be as bad as predicted

For multiple reasons, we have a negative view on the international market for June. 1) There is evidence of a slowdown in the US economy. 2) In the Euro Zone, following the relatively well made financial aid package for Portugal, the Greek debt problem has become more acute, with evidence of fiscal targets not met and a lack of political will to implement further measures. 3) China has displayed signs of an economic slowdown after strong 1Q figures.

Despite this negative view, we believe in a mild negative evolution of the markets, with no large factors to cause major changes. The market has revised estimates for economic activity downwards and now, in a best-case scenario, we believe in a reality as bad as predicted. The most important single issue to monitor is probably the evolution of the Greek problem, which disruption we believe is certain and dependent on a strengthening of the European financial market to absorb its impact; a condition not yet achieved. A meeting with European leaders will take place on June 24, which might be a catalyst if an announcement of any decision to favor the short term solution for the Greek difficulties occurs.

Local inflation estimates approach zero

Most estimates for June’s inflation are nearing zero. The Top Five survey, for instance, now has 0.06% for the IPCA index. Considering that the reduction is sharp, coming from monthly levels from around 0.8% to near zero (May figure is likely to remain above halfway between one end and the other), we believe that there is still some skepticism in the market of this downward course. With the release of hard data confirming the expectation of low inflation, available around the third week of the month in the form of the previous release of indexes for June, we foresee an increased optimism driving the market prices up.

We believe a materialization of the positive local scenario we predict will have greater influence on the local market than the dimmer international scenario, leading to a rebound in local prices. As inflation has been the most important economic factor monitored, an ease in its pace would cause a wave of optimism.

Having this positive view in mind, we left our previous cautious stance and, to benefit from a rebound in the local stock market, changed our suggested portfolio significantly. We added Copasa and Itau (5% weight each) and increased the weights on Even, Eztec, and Lojas Renner (all from 5% to 10%). Additionally, we withdrew Telesp, Tiete and Tractebel.

Source: BANIF CVC, 01.06.2011

Filed under: Brazil, Latin America, News, , , , , , , , , ,

Brazil: BVMF (BM&F BOVESP) News May 2011, Nr 26

COMPLETE REPORT

BM&FBOVESPA launches four new indices
BM&FBOVESPA began on May 2 the calculation and publication in real time of four new indices: the Brazil Broad-Based Index, the Dividend Index, the Basic Materials Index and the Public Utilities Index.

Market Makers for Options on the Stock of OGX and Itaú Unibanco
BM&FBOVESPA announced the start of the process to select three market makers for options on the stocks of OGX Petróleo e Gás Participações S.A. (OGXP3) and Itaú Unibanco Holding.
New bidding process to select the manager for three new ETFs
The winner will have an exclusive one-year license for the use of the Dividend Index (IDIV), Basic Materials Index (IMAT) and Public Utilities Index (UTIL).
More than USD 11.5 billion in public offerings and follow-ons in 2011
In the year to April 20, BM&FBOVESPA registered more than USD 11.5 billion in public offerings and follow-ons. There have been seven Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in 2011.
Enforcement Training in Brazil
“Securities Enforcement Training in Brazil” was promoted on May 9 by BM&FBOVESPA Market Surveillance (BSM), the Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil (CVM) and SEC
New portfolios for the Ibovespa and other indices for the May-August 2011 period
BM&FBOVESPA announced the Ibovespa Index theoretical portfolio valid for the period of May 2 to August 31, 2011, based on the closing of the April 29, 2011 session.
ETF financial volume hits record figure in April
BM&FBOVESPA Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) reached a record BRL 942.43 billion financial volume in April, in 28,969 trades and 14,734,230 units.
2011 EVENTS
Join BM&FBOVESPA in the 2011 events.
Volumes and trades by Direct Market Access (DMA)
BOVESPA Segment (Equities)
In April, order routing via DMA in the BOVESPA* segment totaled BRL 87,859,208,000.00 and 9,531,246 trades.
BM&F Segment (Derivatives)
In April, BM&F* market segment transactions carried out through order routing via Direct Market Access (DMA) registered 23,531,729 contracts traded and 1,840,059 trades.
MARKET RESULTS – BM&F Segment April 2011 (derivatives)
In April, derivatives markets in the BM&F segment (including financial and commodities derivatives) totaled 66,111,464 contracts and BRL 4.57 trillion in volume.
MARKET RESULTS – BOVESPA Segment April 2011 (equities)
In April, equity markets (BOVESPA segment) traded BRL 127.04 billion, in 9,864,428 trades, with daily averages of BRL 6.68 billion and 519,180 trades
Source, BM&FBOVESPA, 17.05.2011            COMPLETE REPORT

Filed under: BM&FBOVESPA, Brazil, Exchanges, , , , , , , , , , , , ,

ETF Landscape: Industry Review – Q1 2011 – BlackRock

At the end of Q1 2011, the global ETF industry had 2,605 ETFs with 5,905 listings and assets of US$1,399.4 Bn  from 142 providers on 48 exchanges around the world. This compared to 2,131 ETFs with 4,133 listings and assets of  US$1,081.9 Bn from 123 providers on 42 exchanges at the end of Q1 2010.  ETF Industry Review_Q1-2011

Additionally, there were 1,119 other ETPs with 1,835 listings and assets of US$183.7 Bn from 58 providers on 23 exchanges. This compared to 718 ETPs with 1,025 listings and assets of US$153.6 Bn from 42 providers on 18 exchanges at the end of Q1 2010.

Combined, there were 3,724 products with 7,740 listings, assets of US$1,583.2 Bn from 178 providers on 52 exchanges around the world at the end of Q1 2011. This compared to 2,849 products with 5,158 listings, assets of US$1,235.4 Bn from 147 providers on 44 exchanges at the end of Q1 2010.

Below is a list of some upcoming events where we will be presenting:

Asia Trader and Investor Convention 2011, Singapore 07-08 May 2011
Complimentary passes are available
www.theatic.net

2nd Annual Inside ETFs – Europe Conference, Amsterdam, 05–06 May 2011
Complimentary passes are available for institutional investors.
www.indexuniverse.eu

Turkey Investment Summit, Istanbul, 09–11 May 2011
www.terrapinn.com

iShares Investment Konferenz, Frankfurt, 11 May 2011
www.ishares-events.com

22nd Annual Conference on Globalisation of Investment Funds, Boston,
15–18 May 2011
www.int-bar.org

ETF & Indexing Investments, New York, 16–18 May 2011
www.terrapinn.com

Factset Investment Process Symposium, Monaco, 23–25 May 2011
www.cvent.com

ASX ETF Institutional Conference, Sydney, 02 June 2011
www.asx.com.au

The 10th Annual Canada Cup of Investment Management, Toronto,
07–08 June 2011
Complimentary passes are being offered by IMN to attend this event to investment professionals at Pensions, Foundations, Endowments, Hedge Funds, Insurance Companies as well as for Registered Investment Advisors. Please contact Jackie Rubbo at jrubbo@imn.org.
www.imn.org

ETF & Indexing Investments, Madrid, 15–16 June 2011
www.terrapinn.com

The Mondo Visione Exchange Forum, London, 15–16 June 2011
www.mvexchangeforum.com

Africa Investment Summit, Johannesburg, South Africa 20–23 June 2011
www.terrapinn.com

European Cup of ETFs and Investment Management, London,
19–20 September 2011
Complimentary passes are being offered by IMN to attend this event to investment professionals at Pensions, Foundations, Endowments, Hedge Funds, Insurance Companies as well as for Registered Investment Advisors. Please contact Jackie Rubbo at jrubbo@imn.org.
www.imn.org

ETF & Indexing Investments, London, 17–19 October 2011
www.terrapinn.com

Please join ETF Network on Linkedin at www.linkedin.com.

Source: BlackRock, 06.05.2011

Filed under: Uncategorized, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Asia Trader & Investor Conference, Singapore 07-08 May 2011

ATIC @Singapore 2011 will feature more than 40 seminars conducted by international and local gurus and experts.  The Asian Trader and Investment Convention – Singapore
Covering topics like:

Futures | Equities | Options | ETF | CFD | Commodities | FOREX | Warrants | Alternative Investment | Property | Insurance | Managed Funds

Event Highlights

  • First in bringing breakthrough and new methods of trading
  • Over 50 investment educational seminars
  • A Specialised Panel of top analysts who will conduct real-time analyses of the same stock
  • Special Trading Focus Workshops on Stocks, Futures, Commodities, Gold, ETFs, Options and Warrants
  • Stock Analysis on Regional Markets by International Traders
  • Investor Clinics that help them improve trading
  • Investment Network Platform with different market segment experts
  • Property Investment Showcase – with property investment education and special panel discussion on Property vs Stock Investments
  • The largest Finance and Investment Book fair

First launched in 2006, Asia Trader and Investor Convention (ATIC) event has travelled to 7 Asian Cities, i.e., Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, Mumbai, Shenzhen and Tokyo. With participation by over 300 financial services companies, including securities exchanges, retail and consumer banks, securities brokerage firms, asset/fund management firms, listed companies and other financial services providers, ATIC events have attracted over 100,000 active traders and serious investors across Asia.

Source: The ATIC, 05.05.2011

Filed under: Asia, China, Events, Exchanges, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, News, Singapore, Vietnam, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brazil – Measures to Curb Inflation in Limelight – Monthly Allocation- April 2011

International Scenario Might Calm the Market in April

March brought to Europe, Northern Africa and Asia, a number of serious events, such as the disaster in Japan, civil war in Libya and the fall of the Portuguese Cabinet, which affected most markets negatively. However, we expect the international scenario to improve in April for two main reasons. First, these events were of a non-recurring nature. Second, key indicators suggest economic recovery in China, US and Europe continues, despite all the social and political turmoil mentioned above, and the inflationary pressures.

Brazil – Monthly Allocation – April 2011 detailed report

All attention focuses on the next move by the Central Bank

Inflation continues at a high level, while economic activity also seems intense. Credit figures released in February were high, although there were doubts about the base of comparison, with Carnival holidays having been in February in 2010 and March in 2011. Data on credit suggests that average maturity terms for credit lines increased, which might explain part of this behavior, as it reduces the concern of an increase in the level of interest rate hikes.

This unabated inflation is evidence that Government action was not enough, indicating the need for further measures. We are still in the middle of the interest rate hike cycle intended to curb inflation. In April, we bet on a final 50 basis points hike for this ongoing move, to 12.25%, after which we believe the Central Bank will wait and see if it needs to increase rates further in the final part of the year. After this last move, it is likely that the CB will make use of alternative measures to continue its fight against inflation. We believe that the market mood will depend greatly on what it decides. If it announces further measures in April, we believe market tension should ease while, if it does nothing more, nervousness might prevail.

Another issue not likely to affect the short term, but which should appear more and more on the market’s radar, is the possibility of Moody’s rating agency upgrading the Brazilian sovereign risk. The agency suggested that it might do so by the end of the second quarter. Currently, Brazil remains at the lowest investment grade level, ten levels below the top of the range.

After the results season, and with this expectation of a tense local scenario, we have changed our portfolio for April. We increased the weight of Vale to 20 from 15% and made substitutions with the same weights: 1) Eletropaulo for Tractebel, with dividends already paid out, and 2) We substituted MRV and PDG for Even and EZ Tec because the first two reported reduced margins. Finally, we withdrew Telesp, as the share performed well and we see no short-term catalyst.

Source: BANIF, 01. April 2011

Filed under: BM&FBOVESPA, Brazil, Exchanges, Japan, Latin America, News, , , , , , , , , , , ,

Brazil – Increasing Risks Might Harm Markets- Monthly Allocation – March 2011

Political tension and increasing international commodity prices

We have seen the rise of commodities prices as a risk of inflation, which ultimately would pose a risk to interest rates. Rising inflation, pushed by costs that would then cause interest rate increases, is unwanted while economic activity does not pick up. Additionally, tensions in North African countries have sent oil prices up as well, which reinforces the scenario of an increase in costs.  Brazil – Monthly Allocation – March 2011

The tension in North African countries is likely to be the dominant international event during March. Following the movement started in Egypt, which led to the fall of a long established dictatorship, other countries, with similar political structures, have started having protests, with unpredictable outcomes.

In China, the celebrations of the local New Year halted release of economic data. However, from the data so far released, we see unchanged risks and believe the country suffers from the increase in commodities prices, as does the rest of the world.

Apart from these political and commodities problems, indicators continue to point to an improving economic activity for the US and Europe, although still at a slow pace.

Local risks still relate to inflation

If the political tension does not deteriorate much further, we believe that local problems in Brazil will dominate the mood of investors. The main local ST risks we see are the still unknown extent of the inflation surge and the efficiency of the measures taken.

After the initial optimism at the beginning of the year, we continue to see a deterioration of expectations, which should continue until the wave of price increases comes under control. Additional to these price increases, the minimum wage, an additional important price, is about to be formally indexed. The approval of this year’s minimum wage comes together with a formula for automatic future adjustments, which formalizes a hitherto informal methodology. With this measure, the government reinforces the need to control other sources of inflation. These include other possible budget costs, the increase in interest rates, credit expansion, etc.

The Government has attempted to control inflation through a reduction of economic activity. The risk here is that the measures may cause an excessive economic slowdown and, for instance, bringing GDP growth below 4% this year (while current expectations are of a GDP around 4.5%).

With this scenario, we have changed our portfolio to make it more defensive, more linked to inflation-adjusted revenue companies and less dependent on companies related to credit and GDP growth. We have included HRT with a weight of 5%, and increased Eletropaulo’s weight (to 10 from 5%). We have also reduced the weight of MRV (to 5% from 10%) and withdrawn Hering.

Source: BANIF, 01.03.2011

 

Filed under: Brazil, Latin America, News, , , , , , , , , , ,

ETF Landscape: Industry Highlights de january/enero 2011 – En/Sp – BlackRock

At the end of January 2011, the global ETF industry had 2,501 ETFs with 5,701 listings and assets of US$1,334.6 Bn, from 138 providers on 47 exchanges around the world. This compares to 2,055 ETFs with 3,941 listings and assets of US$984.0 Bn from 114 providers on 40 exchanges at the end of January 2010.

We expect global AUM in ETFs and ETPs to increase by 20–30% annually over the next three years, taking the global ETF/ETP industry to approximately US$2 trillion in AUM by early 2012. Considering ETFs separately, AUM should reach US$2 trillion globally by the end of 2012, US$1 trillion in the United States in 2011 and US$500 billion in Europe in 2013.

Taking ETFs and ETPs together, United States AUM should reach US$2 trillion in 2013, with European AUM reaching US$500 billion in 2012.

ETF_industryhilight_Jan 2011 full report/reporte completo

Reporte en Español

El reporte ETF Landscape: Industry Highlights de enero 2011, presenta la situación de los Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) y Exchange Traded Products (ETPs).

Se espera que los activos globales bajo administración de los ETFs y ETPs se incrementen de 20 a 30% anualmente durante los próximos tres años, llegando a aproximadamente USD$2 billones (trillion dollars) a principios de 2012.

A escala global, el sector de ETFs tuvo 2,501 ETFs con 5,701 listados y activos por USD$1,334.6 millones, de 138 proveedores en 47 mercados bursátiles en el mundo a finales de enero de 2011.

Por su parte, el sector de ETFs en Latinoamérica cuenta con 26 ETFs, con 365 listados y activos por USD$9.7 mil millones, de cuatro proveedores en tres bolsas, comparado con 17 ETFs, 220 listados y activos por USD$9.5 mil millones de tres proveedores en tres mercados a fines enero del año pasado.

Source: BlackRock/Carral Sierra, 14.02.2011

Filed under: Asia, Latin America, News, Services, , , , , , , , , ,

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